Autor/es reacciones

Lluís Brotons

CSIC researcher at CREAF and co-coordinator of the Laboratory for Biodiversity and Landscape Ecology

The analysis of future scenarios has become a key tool for connecting science with decision making, as it provides us with the future implications of actions taken in the present. It is in the analysis of the effects of climate change that this field has developed most clearly and its implications have often gone beyond the scientific realm. But future scenarios are focusing on how to keep the planet within a climate safety margin (1.5°C) rather than on the most catastrophic scenarios.  

Given the possible implications of these scenarios and the socio-economic trajectory of the planet, the Kemp et al. study puts the finger on the pulse of realism and a sense of precaution and raises the need to assess the implications of such scenarios in a much more serious way than we have done so far, for example through a specific IPCC assessment. 

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