Reacción a "The heat in Europe caused more than 181,000 deaths in the summers of 2022, 2023 and 2024"

The article makes two fundamental contributions. First, it offers a broad overview of the impact of heat waves on mortality in a large number of countries. Second, it demonstrates that it is possible to predict heat-attributable deaths with remarkable statistical accuracy. To do so, the authors use models based on epidemiology.

Other studies have addressed similar issues, using high-resolution meteorological data and advanced machine learning techniques to identify links between climate and mortality. The growing capacity of artificial intelligence makes it possible to discover patterns in huge data sets (big data), something that was previously impossible and which today opens up new possibilities for research.

The urgency of these studies cannot be underestimated. Year after year, new heat records are being broken—Spain, for example, has just recorded one of the hottest years in its history—and forecasts indicate that temperatures will continue to rise. This also increases the risk of heat-related deaths, especially among the most vulnerable people, such as those with chronic diseases. Mortality is higher in regions with limited access to effective medical services, highlighting the unequal burden that heatwaves place on different populations.

On a broader scale, other research argues that global warming is inevitable and irreversible and warns that we could reach a “point of no return” within this century. These findings underscore not only the environmental consequences of climate change, but also its profound implications for public health.

This study, like others in the field, serves as a reminder of the true human cost of global warming. The crucial question is how public health systems will be able to adapt to prevent avoidable deaths attributed to heat waves. Geographic differences in mortality show that public health measures can make a tangible difference. What remains to be seen is the extent to which health services around the world will be able to rise to this challenge.