Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
ICREA Professor, Director of the Earth Sciences Department at the Barcelona Supercomputing Center
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in mid-latitudes, such as southern Europe and northern Africa. The increase in frequency and intensity can be attributed to climate change due to human action using well-established methodologies that mix statistics, observations, and climate simulations. These methodologies have been used to analyze to what extent the heatwaves registered simultaneously in various parts of the planet (China, southern United States, northern Mexico and southern Europe) during this month of July can be attributed to climate change. In particular, for southern Europe the results indicate that there is no doubt that the heatwave would have been practically impossible without the human contribution, and if it had occurred it would have been almost more than two degrees less intense.
The authors' conclusions are a serious wake-up call to reduce and eliminate greenhouse gas emissions due to human action and quickly address the adaptation of vulnerable societies to hitherto unknown environmental conditions. The authors provide some useful recommendations for adapting to heatwaves with examples of actions that are already taking place.